Duke
W-L: (27- 9) PR = 97.5951Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 H Baylor B12 (25- 9, 97.0) 52-58 1109 A Holy Cross PAT H (23-11, 94.1) 91-48 1112 A Norfolk St MEAC (17-15, 92.8) 83-32 1114 H West Va B12 (27- 8, 97.3) 49-57 1116 A Liberty CUSA (16-13, 94.2) 71-57 1120 H So Florida AME (20-12, 95.4) 72-85 1126 H So Carolina SEC (35- 4, 99.2) 66-83 1127 H UCLA B10 (38- 1, 99.9) 59-89 1204 H LSU SEC (29- 6, 98.2) 77-93 1207 A Va Tech ACC (23-10, 96.3) 70-54 1218 A So Dakota St SM (25- 7, 96.2) 97-54 1220 A Belmont MV (20-12, 94.8) 76-46 1228 A Syracuse ACC (22-10, 96.5) 71-51 101 A Boston Col ACC ( 5-26, 92.9) **-49 104 A Notre Dame ACC (25-11, 97.1) 82-68 108 A California ACC (22-14, 95.9) 78-74 111 A Stanford ACC (20-14, 95.7) 67-60 115 A Virginia ACC (21-13, 96.1) 65-58 118 A Georgia Tech ACC (14-19, 95.2) 93-46 124 A Pittsburgh ACC ( 7-22, 93.0) 95-41 129 A Miami (Fl) ACC (18-15, 95.6) 74-58 201 A Wake Forest ACC (14-18, 94.2) 80-44 205 A Louisville ACC (29- 8, 97.5) 59-58 208 A SMU ACC ( 9-21, 93.8) 95-36 215 A No Carolina ACC (28- 8, 97.4) 72-68 219 A NC State ACC (21-11, 96.6) 83-65 222 H Clemson ACC (21-12, 96.1) 51-53 226 A Florida St ACC (11-20, 94.8) 80-52 301 H No Carolina ACC (28- 8, 97.4) 69-74 306 A Clemson ACC (21-12, 96.1) 60-46 307 A Notre Dame ACC (25-11, 97.1) 65-63 308 A Louisville ACC (29- 8, 97.5) 70-65 320 A Charlotte AME (38-24, 94.3) 81-64 322 A Baylor B12 (25- 9, 97.0) 69-46 327 A LSU SEC (29- 6, 98.2) 87-85 329 H UCLA B10 (38- 1, 99.9) 58-70
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 H Baylor 52-58 -6 1 - -2.57
1109 A Holy Cross 91-48 43 3 0.00
1112 A Norfolk St 83-32 51 5 0.00
1114 H West Va 49-57 -8 0 - -2.30
1116 A Liberty 71-57 14 3 0.00
1120 H So Florida 72-85 -13 2 -- -4.00
1126 H So Carolina 66-83 -17 -2 -0.44
1127 H UCLA 59-89 -30 -2 0.00
1204 H LSU 77-93 -16 -1 -1.41
1207 A Va Tech 70-54 16 1 0.69
1218 A So Dakota St 97-54 43 1 0.62
1220 A Belmont 76-46 30 3 0.00
1228 A Syracuse 71-51 20 1 0.90
101 A Boston Col **-49 51 5 0.00
104 A Notre Dame 82-68 14 0 1.52
108 A California 78-74 4 2 0.33
111 A Stanford 67-60 7 2 0.15
115 A Virginia 65-58 7 1 0.54
118 A Georgia Tech 93-46 47 2 0.00
124 A Pittsburgh 95-41 54 5 0.00
129 A Miami (Fl) 74-58 16 2 0.04
201 A Wake Forest 80-44 36 3 0.00
205 A Louisville 59-58 1 0 0.94
208 A SMU 95-36 59 4 0.00
215 A No Carolina 72-68 4 0 1.83
219 A NC State 83-65 18 1 1.04
222 H Clemson 51-53 -2 2 - -3.52
226 A Florida St 80-52 28 3 0.00
301 H No Carolina 69-74 -5 0 - -2.19
306 A Clemson 60-46 14 2 0.50
307 A Notre Dame 65-63 2 0 1.52
308 A Louisville 70-65 5 0 1.94
320 A Charlotte 81-64 17 3 0.00
322 A Baylor 69-46 23 1 1.45
327 A LSU 87-85 2 -1 + 2.61
329 H UCLA 58-70 -12 -2 0.00
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1120 H So Florida 72-85 -13 2 -- -4.00 1103 H Baylor 52-58 -6 1 - -2.57 1114 H West Va 49-57 -8 0 - -2.30 222 H Clemson 51-53 -2 2 - -3.52 301 H No Carolina 69-74 -5 0 - -2.19 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 327 A LSU 87-85 2 -1 + 2.61 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Baylor (25- 9, 97.0) 52-58 -2.87 8.09 -0.01 0.84 -1.21
3 A Holy Cross (23-11, 94.1) 91-48 -5.80 5.16 0.01 0.84 8.72
3 A Norfolk St (17-15, 92.8) 83-32 -7.12 3.84 0.01 0.84 6.48
3 H West Va (27- 8, 97.3) 49-57 -2.60 8.36 -0.01 0.84 -1.10
3 A Liberty (16-13, 94.2) 71-57 -5.66 5.30 0.01 0.84 8.96
3 H So Florida (20-12, 95.4) 72-85 -4.47 6.49 -0.01 0.84 -1.89
3 H So Carolina (35- 4, 99.2) 66-83 -0.74 10.22 -0.01 0.84 -0.32
3 H UCLA (38- 1, 99.9) 59-89 -0.00 10.96 -0.01 0.84 -0.00
3 H LSU (29- 6, 98.2) 77-93 -1.71 9.25 -0.01 0.84 -0.72
3 A Va Tech (23-10, 96.3) 70-54 -3.62 7.34 0.01 0.84 12.39
3 A So Dakota St (25- 7, 96.2) 97-54 -3.69 7.27 0.01 0.84 12.27
3 A Belmont (20-12, 94.8) 76-46 -5.14 5.82 0.01 0.84 9.84
3 A Syracuse (22-10, 96.5) 71-51 -3.41 7.55 0.01 0.84 12.75
3 A Boston Col ( 5-26, 92.9) **-49 -7.02 3.94 0.01 0.84 6.66
3 A Notre Dame (25-11, 97.1) 82-68 -2.80 8.16 0.01 0.84 13.78
3 A California (22-14, 95.9) 78-74 -3.99 6.97 0.01 0.84 11.77
3 A Stanford (20-14, 95.7) 67-60 -4.17 6.79 0.01 0.84 11.47
3 A Virginia (21-13, 96.1) 65-58 -3.77 7.19 0.01 0.84 12.14
3 A Georgia Tech (14-19, 95.2) 93-46 -4.73 6.23 0.01 0.84 10.51
3 A Pittsburgh ( 7-22, 93.0) 95-41 -6.94 4.02 0.01 0.84 6.80
3 A Miami (Fl) (18-15, 95.6) 74-58 -4.27 6.69 0.01 0.84 11.29
3 A Wake Forest (14-18, 94.2) 80-44 -5.66 5.30 0.01 0.84 8.95
3 A Louisville (29- 8, 97.5) 59-58 -2.37 8.59 0.01 0.84 14.49
3 A SMU ( 9-21, 93.8) 95-36 -6.14 4.82 0.01 0.84 8.15
3 A No Carolina (28- 8, 97.4) 72-68 -2.48 8.48 0.01 0.84 14.31
3 A NC State (21-11, 96.6) 83-65 -3.27 7.69 0.01 0.84 12.98
3 H Clemson (21-12, 96.1) 51-53 -3.82 7.14 -0.01 0.84 -1.61
3 A Florida St (11-20, 94.8) 80-52 -5.07 5.89 0.01 0.84 9.94
3 H No Carolina (28- 8, 97.4) 69-74 -2.48 8.48 -0.01 0.84 -1.05
3 A Clemson (21-12, 96.1) 60-46 -3.82 7.14 0.01 0.84 12.06
3 A Notre Dame (25-11, 97.1) 65-63 -2.80 8.16 0.01 0.84 13.78
3 A Louisville (29- 8, 97.5) 70-65 -2.37 8.59 0.01 0.84 14.49
3 A Charlotte (38-24, 94.3) 81-64 -5.57 5.39 0.01 0.84 9.10
3 A Baylor (25- 9, 97.0) 69-46 -2.87 8.09 0.01 0.84 13.66
3 A LSU (29- 6, 98.2) 87-85 -1.71 9.25 0.01 0.84 15.61
3 H UCLA (38- 1, 99.9) 58-70 -0.00 10.96 -0.01 0.84 -0.00
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295.43
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winning pts = 303.3415 losing points = -7.9122
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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